Putin
has many options to stay at power in Russia when his term expires
in 2008
The
subject of the forthcoming presidential election of 2008 still
remains one of the most talked-about political issues in Russia.
Some say that Putin may select his successor or find another way
to preserve his current political direction. Below you can find
a few options for Vladimir Putin to rule Russia even if he has
to move out from the Kremlin.
Option
No.1: Unified State
The
creation of the Unified state between Russia and Belarus used
to be considered an escape clause for Boris Yeltsin after the
year 2000. Vladimir Putin may use this opportunity too. To have
the new union ready by 2008, one should start working on it already
now: Russia and Belarus will have to bring their economic and
legal systems together, conduct a national referendum, elect the
new parliament and the head of new state (most likely Putin).
This scenario has one big flaw: Alexander Lukashenko, the President
of Belarus, does not seem to be willing to unite with anyone.
Option
No.2: Constitutional reform
In
this case Russian authorities will have to re-organize themselves
following Germany's experience. The president will take a nominal
position in the country, while the prime minister (Vladimir Putin)
will be ruling the country. This will be a very complicated reform,
which will require a lot of political chances and the time period
of about one year at least. More importantly, Putin has repeatedly
expressed his protests against any changes in the Russian Constitution.
Option
No.3: A "technical president"
There
are other variants for Vladimir Putin to stay at power, which
require no constitutional changes. Putin may choose a reliable
successor - a person who will work as the Russian president only
technically. This person will be the formal leader of Russia,
while Putin could take the prime minister's office, chair the
State Council, etc.
However,
does Putin really need to carry the burden of the Russian leader
for years? The president stated in one of his interviews that
working as a president even for seven years could "drive
a person crazy." One should leave the Kremlin with honours,
of course, but why not becoming a part of history as the president,
who raised Russia from economic ruins?
Option
No.4: The head of the ruling party
That
could be a very good chance for Putin to keep his presence in
Russia's political life. United Russia, the pro-Kremlin political
party, obviously needs a leader like Vladimir Putin. If Putin
becomes United Russia's leader by 2008, he would be able to control
both home and foreign policies.
Option
No.5: The head of a major corporation
When
Vladimir Putin leaves Kremlin in 2008, he could become the president
of Russia's largest oil and gas corporation (for instance, Gazprom).
If Putin could simultaneously chair United Russia and Gazprom
by 2008, he would be able to supervise both political and economic
policies in Russia.
If
Vladimir Putin makes up his mind to leave indeed, the name of
the would-be master of the Kremlin should appear like a trump
card, similarly to Boris Yeltsin's introduction of Vladimir Putin
on the last day of the year 1999.
Source:
Pravda.ru
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